AMERICAN LEAGUE EAST:
RED SOX: 89-73 Injuries to Price and Pomeranz drop them below 90 wins, but the lineup still propels them to AL East title.
BLUE JAYS: 88-74 Ironically its pitching that powers the Jays to a Wildcard birth, not hitting. That rotation is sneaky good.
ORIOLES: 84-78 Offense is one-dimensional, but man can they swat the longball. Top end rotation could actually be quite good and Britton’s is un-hittable.
YANKEES: 80-82 Other prognosticators are hotter on Yanks than I am. Can Sanchez do it for a whole year? Can Bird stay healthy? Can CC stay productive? Lots of “ifs”.
RAYS: 79-83 Stop me if you’ve heard this one before: Rays can pitch, but they just can’t hit…
AMERICAN LEAGUE CENTRAL:
INDIANS: 95-67 Encarnacion fills a HUGE power need. Healthy Salazar is essential. Healthy Carrasco would be nice. Healthy Brantley would be gravy.
TIGERS: 86-76 This team is stuck in the good-but-not great category for another year. The bullpen continues to hold them back.
ROYALS: 78-94 The window has closed. Outside of Duffy the rotation is simply not very good, and no one fears their bullpen anymore.
WHITE SOX: 68-94 This team will rake in 2019, but this year is going to be miserable. Fire sale come June — Everything must go!
TWINS: 65-97 There are sprinkles of talent in the lineup, but they are very raw, and that rotation is simply hideous.
AMERICAN LEAGUE WEST:
MARINERS: 88-74 M’s swoop in and surprise with upgraded speed and defense. Gallardo and Smyly bounce back to contribute, too.
ASTROS: 88-74 Their lineup is primed to put up silly-good numbers, but you can’t win every game 10-8.
RANGERS: 87-75I like pieces of this team but not the whole. Depending on Choo and Gomez to be healthy and productive seems far-fetched and the back end of the rotation is a mess.
ANGELS: 80-82 The same can be said here. This team is 2-to-3 arms away from relevance, but not as terrible as people think.
ATHLETICS: 72-90 No one in their right mind would call the A’s good, but there are some promising arms here. That’s about it.
NATIONAL LEAGUE EAST:
NATIONALS: 90-72 Injury concerns abound, but this team is deep and talented. That bullpen is the Achilles heel.
METS: 86-76 Speaking of injury concerns…If 3/5ths of the rotation can stay upright and the bats continue to hit homers, they will hang around the playoff discussion.
BRAVES: 81-81 For a rebuilding team these guys are gonna be downright respectable.
PHILLIES 80-82 Better-than-you-think Phillies hang around the .500 mark.
MARLINS: 74-88 An already thin rotation is made thinner by the tragic death of Fernandez. There’s just not the quality arms here to make a run.
NATIONAL LEAGUE CENTRAL:
CUBS: 96-66 Everything went right for my beloved Cubbies last year, but there’s no way they enjoy that much good health in the rotation again.
CARDINALS: 87-75 Losing Reyes for the year is a killer, but they’re still a well-oiled machine down in STL and squeeze out a wildcard berth.
PIRATES: 84-78 McCutchen bounces back and everyone in Pittsburg takes a collective deep-breath, but even that’s not enough to cope with pitching deficiencies.
BREWERS 71-91 A long, slow rebuild defines the future in Brew-town.
REDS: 65-97 Well…at least they’re not the Padres.
NATIONAL LEAGUE WEST:
DODGERS: 90-72 A great lineup for sure, but i have some real durability and performance concerns about that rotation past Kershaw.
GIANTS: 88-74 I like the rotation obviously, and picking up Melancon is a plus. Outfield looks a little spotty.
ROCKIES: 82-80 I had these poor guys slotted for a wildcard spot before the rash of injuries. Buzzard’s luck in the mountains.
DIAMONDBACKS: 82-80 Last year everything that could go wrong did. This year, some things go right…just not enough things.
PADRES: 59-103 Wow. A whole different level of bad for these guys. Can you name a Padre outside of Wil Myers?
BLUE JAYS over ASTROS
GIANTS over CARDINALS
INDIANS over BLUE JAYS in 5
RED SOX over MARINERS in 5
CUBS over GIANTS in 4
DODGERS over NATIONALS in 4
INDIANS over RED SOX in 5
CUBS over DODGERS in 5
INDIANS over CUBS in 6
Francisco Lindor - Indians
Nolan Arenado - Rockies
AL CY YOUNG:
Chris Sale - Red Sox
NL CY YOUNG:
Clayton Kershaw - Dodgers