MLB PREDICTIONS 2016

AMERICAN LEAGUE WEST:

Astros 94-68 The most talented group of youngsters not named the Cubs. They have few weaknesses; they hit, they run, they defend, and they pitch. 

Mariners 85-77 Addition of Lind/Aoki's OBP compliments M's power and look for big improvements from young hurler Walker, but they fall just short. 

Rangers 83-79 I'm not as hot on the Rangers as others; they are depending on a lot of older players to repeat and injured players to get healthy. Not a good recipe for October. 

Angels 79-83 Yes Trout is awesome, and there are some decent pieces around him, but that rotation has more question marks than The Riddler's suit coat. 

Athletics 72-90 They aren't as bad as last year's record would suggest, but they are still the worst team in the American League. 

 

AMERICAN LEAGUE CENTRAL:

White Sox 87-75 Sale/Quintana/Rodon are going to mow opposing batters down right and left, and the additional bats will be just enough for them to snatch the division.

Royals 86-76 The champs can hit, and their pitching is golden from the 7th on, but who's going to pitch the first 6 innings? The starting pitching is all kinds of bad. 

Tigers 86-76 The rotation is suspect, and the bullpen, while better is far from fixed. But this is one of the best offensive clubs in baseball, period. 

Indians 84-78 The exact opposite of the Tigers; the arms are elite, but they just won't score enough runs. The loss of Brantley for several months is killer. 

Twins 77-85 They are stacked with young talent, but last year was a aberration. They are still a few years (and a few pitchers) away. 

 

AMERICAN LEAGUE EAST:

Blue Jays 89-73 They will swat their way to another division title. That collection of bats is historic levels of awesome. The rotation is mediocre, but enough. 

Red Sox 85-77 Without a doubt they are better, but who pitches after Price? If you believe any of those guys will be healthy or effective you are delusional. 

Rays 83-79 Their arms are the envy of the league. Their bats are improved, just not improved enough. 

Orioles 82-80 They will hit a bunch of homers and also give up a bunch of runs. Lots of 8-6 losses in their future. 

Yankees 78-84 There is no way in hell you get the production from A-Rod/Tex/Beltran you got last year. Everyone here is old, fragile or both. 

 

 

NATIONAL LEAGUE WEST:

Giants 92-70 New pitching additions help, and Span is true leadoff man they've always needed. Ultra-balanced Giants will go as far as Cueto's elbow allows.

Diamondbacks 89-73 There is huge talent here, but the depth is paper thin. Assuming the new arms and familiar bats stay healthy, this is a playoff-level team. 

Dodgers 87-75 The loss of Grienke hurts obviously, the loss of Brett Anderson is salt-in-the-wound. I'm not sure Pederson can hit for average or Puig can, well, stop being Puig.

Padres 72-90 Cashner and Ross bounce back, which means they are dealt at the deadline. Will Myers ever be healthy? 

Rockies 70-92 Those bats are stellar, but their pitching is the worst in baseball...by a lot. 

 

NATIONAL LEAGUE CENTRAL:

Cubs 98-64 Unreal talent. One of those weird quirks where the team is significantly better, but doesn't show in the record much due to some natural regressions.

Pirates 89-73 People are overlooking this team due to losses on rotation. Don't. There are arms in the pipeline and they have the best outfield trio in baseball. 

Cardinals 87-75 The pitching is very, very good, even if they are due for a regression to career norms. The bats are going to struggle, especially with the injury to Peralta. 

Brewers 68-94 The "loser" in the NL Central race-to-the-bottom. Their pitching is slightly less awful than the Reds. 

Reds 66-96 Believe it or not, there are teams that are worse than the Reds in baseball: See the NL East...

 

NATIONAL LEAGUE EAST:

Mets 92-70 This is assuming all the young flame-throwers stay healthy. If one of these guys goes down they are in trouble, because the lineup is just okay. 

Nationals 90-72 Outside of Harper, the offense is injury-prone and unreliable. But the rotation is already very good, and there are pitching prospects on the way. 

Marlins 82-80 The only team in the NL that isn't either really good or really bad. They have excellent pieces, but not enough talent to support them. 

Braves 62-100 Good gracious, this team is bad in every phase of the game. A painful rebuild is on the way, but they got a king's ransom for Miller from the D'Backs. 

Phillies 58-104 As terrible as this team is, the future is bright. Their farm system is getting restocked and they have some studs just entering the MLB level. 

 

AL WILDCARD:

Tigers over Royals

 

NL WILDCARD: 

Pirates* over Nationals

*Pirates win play-in game over Diamondbacks

 

ALDS:

Astros over Tigers in 3

Blue Jays over White Sox in 4

 

NLDS:

Cubs over Pirates in 4

Giants over Mets in 5

 

ALCS:

Astros over Blue Jays in 6

Giants over Cubs in 7

 

WORLDS SERIES:

Astros over Giants in 6

 

AL MVP:

1) Carlos Correia, Astros

2) Mike Trout, Angels

3) Manny Machado, Orioles

4) Josh Donaldson, Blue Jays

5) Francisco Lindor, Indians

 

NL MVP: 

1) Paul Goldschmidt, Diamondbacks

2) Anthony Rizzo, Cubs

3) Bryce Harper, Nationals

4) Nolan Arenado, Rockies

5) Andrew McCutchen, Pirates

 

AL CY YOUNG:

1) Chris Sale, White Sox

2) Felix Hernandex, Mariners

3) Danny Salazar, Indians

4) Chris Archer, Rays

5) Carlos Carrasco, Indians

 

NL CY YOUNG:

1) Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers

2) Matt Harvey, Mets

3) Gerrit Cole, Pirates

4) Madison Bumgarner, Giants

5) Jacob deGrom, Mets